Southwest United States: Climate change to the year 2099

Anyway you look at it, the Southwest United States will become a disaster zone. In fact, it has been short of water for decades. Rationing is the norm between home owners and agriculture all the way to Mexico. With our government greeting huge numbers of immigrants to our nation, mostly coming to the desert Southwest, water deficits are a certainty on the way to 2050. Yet our government still wants to import all the people they can:

“”If current trends continue, the population of the United States will rise to 438 million in 2050, from 296 million in 2005, and 83% of the increase will be due to immigrants arriving from 2005 to 2050 and their  U.S.-born descendants,…”

“Of the 117 million people added to the population during this period due to the effect of new immigration, 67 million will be the immigrants themselves and 50 million will be their U.S.-born children or grandchildren.

The government wants an unknown number of  people added to the Social Security System to  support 78 million more retirees collecting benefits by 2050. And most of them will come from south of our border: The reason it’s needed:

“There were 59 children and elderly people per 100 adults of working age in 2005. That will rise to 72 dependents per 100adults of working age in 2050. ”

This population growth is the major reason that the damage from climate change will wreak the most destruction and death on the Southwest United States.


“Recent warming in the Southwest has been among the most rapid in the nation. This is driving declines in spring snowpack and Colorado River flow. Projections of future climate change indicate strong warming in the region, with much larger increases under higher emissions scenarios compared to lower. Projected summertime temperature increases are greater than the annual average increases in parts of the region and are likely to be exacerbated by expanding urban heat island effects.

“Further water cycle changes are projected, which combined with increasing temperatures signal a serious water supply challenge in the decades and centuries ahead. The prospect of future droughts becoming more severe due to warming is a significant concern, especially because the Southwest continues to lead the nation in population growth.”

The demand for water will greatly outgrow the supply as most of that new population from south of the border will settle in the Southwest region of the United States. Rivers will dry up and no water trucks will be able to supply the huge population explosion, along with the agricultural demand from hydroelectric power production, farms, factories and Mexico, also part of the equation.


  • Cities and agriculture face increasing risks from a changing climate.

“With more intense, longer-lasting heat waves projected to occur over this century, demands for air conditioning are expected to deplete electricity supplies, increasing risks of brownouts and blackouts.

Cities and towns in the land of the sun capture a lot of heat in an urban setting, with concrete and steel making for a longer, much hotter atmosphere. Power plants won’t be able to keep up with air-conditioning needs  and many people  will die in the inner cities from the searing heat; the old, the sick, the young.

“Water supplies in some areas are already becoming limited, and this trend toward scarcity is likely to be a harbinger of future water shortages…rising temperatures [will] reduce river flows in vital rivers including the Colorado.

“Limitations imposed on water supply by projected temperature increases are likely to be made worse  by substantial reductions in rain and snowfall in the spring months,..” when it’s needed most.


Agriculture will be hit hard. A number of hours at a low temperature are needed in the winter for fruit to “become dormant and set fruit for the following year.” That won’t happen and the estimated loss for future agricultural crops of up to 40 percent  are predicted “for wine and table grapes, almonds, oranges, walnuts, and avocados, varying significantly by location.”


By 2050 the population of California will grow by 75% to 60 million people. Consider that the current population is already too much. There are too many people, cars, pollution, and heat.  And we have resource shortages, for example, water, that will in many places run out as the population increases. (July 10, 2007)

Due to the overcrowding, housing will be vertical in many places, replacing the single unit house in order to save 550,000 acres of green space. In that case, these urban living areas will be even more crowded and heated. Urban planner Dowell Myers, says that “68% of the growth this decade will be Latino, 75% next and 80% after that.”


According to a recent  study the sea levels off of California’s coast will “rise up to one foot in 20 years, 2 feet by 2050 and as much as 5 1/2  by the end of the century.” According to the National Research Council it’s because “much of California is sinking, extending the reach of a sea that is warming and expanding because of climate change.”

Serious damage could occur within a few decades along Coastal California. Storms in low-lying areas of Southern California and the Bay Area could cause significant damage. “San Francisco International Airport…could flood if the sea rises a little more than a foot, a mark expected to be reached in the next few decades.”

Read Frosty Wooldridge’s comments on the 100 million more people that will be here by 2050:

“So, what happens to America? Within the next 38 years, we can expect 100 million immigrants added to this country and our own growth rate at 38 million to total a whopping 138 million people who need water, food, energy and resources to maintain the American way of life. Ironically, we continue on this epic immigration that will net another 300 million by 2070. Anybody listening think we’re going to survive this thing? Yet, you won’t hear a single word about it in the media or from our leaders. Again, Mark Twain’s ‘silent assertion.’”

“Unlimited population growth cannot be sustained; you cannot sustain growth in the rates of consumption of resources. No species can overrun the carrying capacity of a finite land mass. This law cannot be repealed and is not negotiable.” Dr. Albert Bartlett, University of Colorado, USA.

There is no way for America to survive 138 million more immigrants over the next few decades with our current policy of appeasing the greedy corporate CEOs. We will need another 40 percent or more of oil, meaning we drill for more oil, releasing more of the dirtiest greenhouse gases. All of the current forecasts for the U.S. and the globe over at least the next few decades are for our planet to continue poisoning the air and the oceans, bringing a nightmare scenario for the world, lasting for hundreds of years. (Ray Kania)

For the more detailed pdf.  version of the Southwest United States to 2099 visit this site.

For more on our dwindling water resources, read “Running dry: Water Shortages in the united states

Population growth does not bring prosperity to a nation. In a finite world, it brings disaster. Read ‘Rethinking Rapid Growth in a Finite World” (2012)

NOTE TO READERS: If you live in the Southwest United States and plan to live there permanently, don’t.  Move away. This area is a guaranteed disaster zone.


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